Articles by Estefano Gomez
IranтАЩs foreign ministry stated that removing nuclear reserves was never a negotiation option. Odds for no US-Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30 sit at 1.5%
, up from 2% yesterday.
The statement mo...
Iran has declared that transferring enriched uranium has never been an option, and the market for the U.S. obtaining Iranian enriched uranium by May 31 sits at 0% YES.
This statement directly affectя┐╜...
Bitcoin is trading at $75K, up about 24% from its bear market low, but strong selling pressure and exchange inflows suggest the rally may not hold. The market for Bitcoin dipping to $60,000 in April я┐╜...
Iran has not committed to attending the next round of US-led talks in Pakistan, following a US naval blockade and the seizure of an Iranian cargo ship. The market on whether no qualifying diplomatic я┐╜...
IranтАЩs Foreign Ministry spokesman rejected any deadlines on national interests and warned the U.S. and Israel of military retaliation. The probability of a ceasefire by April 30 has dropped to 34.5%...
Israeli forces have uncovered an Iranian Revolutionary Guards terror network aiming to sabotage a strategic oil pipeline. The odds for an attack on the Kharg Island oil terminal by April 30 are now aя┐╜...
IsraelтАЩs military warned Lebanese civilians against returning to villages in southern Lebanon, citing Hezbollah ceasefire violations. The Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30 market sits at 100%...
PakistanтАЩs Prime Minister is keeping peace talk plans alive in Islamabad despite Iran pulling out, and the odds for a ceasefire extension by April 21, 2026, have dropped to 64%
YES, down from 86% ...
IranтАЩs Foreign Ministry is reviewing a US plan conveyed during the Pakistani Army ChiefтАЩs visit, and the market for no US-Iran meeting by June 30 sits at 1.5%
YES, up from 2% yesterday.
Market ...
AaveтАЩs rsETH exploit caused a $7B drop in total value locked and a 15% decline in the AAVE token. BitcoinтАЩs likelihood of dipping to $60,000 in April sits at 3.1%
YES, unchanged after the news b...
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