Articles by Estefano Gomez
## Market Snapshot
Potential Strike on Iran by June market is currently priced at 4.1% YES, maintaining stability over the past week. The Strait of Hormuz Traffic by May 15 market has decreased to 1я┐╜...
## Market Snapshot
Jerome Powell Out as Fed Chair Timeline: May 14 is priced at 0.7% YES, while May 15 is at 29.5% YES. Kevin Warsh Fed Chair Confirmation by May 15 is at 93.5% YES. Fed Chair Confirя┐╜...
## Market Snapshot TrumpтАЩs Visit to China market shows 0.1% YES for a visit on May 9, unchanged over the past week. The Trump Visit to China by May 31 market is priced at 94.9% YES, reflecting a sli...
## Market Snapshot
IranтАЩs Enriched Uranium Surrender market is priced at 46.5%
YES for the December 31, 2026 deadline, up from 42% 24 hours ago. The June 30, 2026 deadline is at 25% YES, showing ...
## Market Snapshot
US-Iran Nuclear Deal by June market is currently priced at 38.5% for a YES outcome, previously at 28% a day ago. TrumpтАЩs Hormuz Blockade Announcement market shows a 42% YES proba...
## Market Snapshot
The market for тАЬWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?тАЭ is currently priced at 69% YES, down from 76% 24 hours ago. Recent activity reflects heightene...
The Treasury letter follows reports alleging Iran linked funds moved through Binance despite the exchanges 2023 compliance settlement. Binance received a letter from the US Treasury Department seekinя┐╜...
## Market Snapshot Strait of Hormuz Traffic by May: Currently priced at 6.2% YES, up from 2% 24 hours ago. This suggests an increase in optimism regarding the straitтАЩs traffic normalization by May 1...
## Market Snapshot
Bitcoin price predictions for May 2026 currently indicate a likelihood of decreases, with the market pricing consistent with a negative outlook. Recent developments are suggestiveя┐╜...
## Market Snapshot
The тАЬIsrael withdraws from LebanonтАЭ market sees a decrease in YES pricing, with current odds at 6.5% for June 30, 2026, down from 8% a day ago. The тАЬIran military action agai...
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