Articles by Estefano Gomez
## Market Snapshot
The market assessing whether Donald Trump will announce the lifting of the US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026, has seen a significant drop in confidence, with YESя┐╜...
## Market Snapshot
The market for a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026, is currently priced at 5.9% YES, slightly down from 6% 24 hours ago. The strike on RussiaтАЩs oil export infrastructure c...
## Market Snapshot
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31 is currently priced at 14.5% YES, down from 16% 24 hours ago. The next US-Iran diplomatic meeting market remains inactive, with no recent pricing daя┐╜...
## Market Snapshot
The тАЬTotal Crypto Hack Value in 2026тАЭ market is currently evaluating the likelihood of exceeding a $1.2 billion threshold by the end of the year. Market implications suggest in...
## Market Snapshot
The market for тАЬIran closes its airspace by May 8тАЭ is currently priced at 20.5% YES, down from 24% in the past 24 hours. The тАЬIran closes its airspace by May 31тАЭ market sta...
## Market Snapshot
Bitcoin Price Predictions for May 2026 are currently showing potential for an increase, with market pricing supportive of Bitcoin reaching $115,000. The market for Bitcoin Price oя┐╜...
## Market Snapshot
IranтАЩs leadership status market reflects a 33.5% YES pricing for a change by December 31, down from 36% yesterday. The market assessing the fall of the Iranian regime by May 31 i...
## Market Snapshot
The market for whether the ECB will announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting currently stands at 100% YES across all active sub-markets. This pricing appears to contrя┐╜...
## Market Snapshot
Market: WTI Crude Oil Prices in May 2026 Current Pricing: ? YES for $150 threshold Trend: Currently observing no significant movement in volume
## Key Takeaways
тАУ ChinaтАЩs dir...
## Market Snapshot
Bab el-Mandeb Strait closure market is currently priced at 10.5% YES, down from 14% 24 hours ago. This reflects a declining expectation of closure within the next 29 days.
## Keyя┐╜...
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