Articles by Estefano Gomez
## Market Snapshot
In the тАЬRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026тАЭ market, YES shares are priced at 9.5%, down from 10% 24 hours ago. The тАЬRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026тАЭ mar...
## Market Snapshot
Bitcoin Price Targets markets currently show a 0.1% YES probability for Bitcoin reaching $80,000 in April. This is down from 3% 24 hours ago and 58% a week ago. The market appearsя┐╜...
## Market Snapshot
US-Iran Ceasefire market shows 0.1% YES, down from 1% a day ago. Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting market is trending negatively in anticipated likelihood.
## Key Takeaways
тАУ Ira...
## Market Snapshot
In the тАЬIsrael Withdraws from LebanonтАЭ market, the probability of Israel withdrawing by June 30, 2026, is currently priced at 9% YES, down from 10% a day ago. The May 31, 2026,...
## Market Snapshot
In the тАЬUS Invasion of IranтАЭ market, the current pricing suggests decreasing likelihood of a US invasion of Iran before 2027. The withdrawal of US troops from Germany appears t...
## Market Snapshot
Crude Oil Price Predictions by June market currently shows 100% YES pricing for the question тАЬWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?тАЭ. This reflects unchanged senti...
## Market Snapshot
The тАЬWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?тАЭ market shows a current YES pricing at 0.1%, down from 3% 24 hours ago, and 58% seven days ago. The тАЬWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in A...
## Market Snapshot
In the тАЬTrumpтАЩs Iranian Demands in AprilтАЭ market, the likelihood of a YES outcome has decreased, with recent pricing suggesting resistance to Iranian demands. The тАЬUS Decla...
## Market Snapshot
The market for тАЬWill the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?тАЭ is currently priced at 6.5% YES, down from 8% a week ago. The April 30, 2026, sub-market remai...
## Market Snapshot
US Forces Enter Iran market is currently priced with a NO-leaning indication, reflective of a de-escalation scenario following the USS Gerald R. FordтАЩs departure. Strait of Hormu...
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