Articles by Estefano Gomez
## Market Snapshot
Strait of Hormuz Traffic Normalization is currently priced at a 58% likelihood of normalization by the end of June. TrumpтАЩs Hormuz Blockade Announcement market shows a 37.5% prob...
## Market Snapshot
тАЬTotal Crypto Hack Value in 2026тАЭ market is currently unpriced, with no recent activity. The news is likely to influence perceptions of cyber risk, but no immediate pricing mov...
## Market Snapshot The тАЬUS Invasion of IranтАЭ market is seeing increased interest, with current pricing suggesting heightened likelihood of a YES outcome. The тАЬTrumpтАЩs Hormuz Blockade Announcem...
## Market Snapshot
The market on whether Iran will close its airspace by May 8 is currently priced at 17% YES, down from 18% 24 hours ago. For May 31, the probability stands at 37.5% YES, down from я┐╜...
## Market Snapshot
The market assessing whether Nvidia will be the largest company by market cap on June 30 is currently priced at 70% YES. This represents a decrease from previous levels, suggestinя┐╜...
## Market Snapshot
The market for тАЬJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026тАЭ is currently priced at 1.4% YES, reflecting a decrease from previous levels. The pricing for PowellтАЩs departur...
## Market Snapshot
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by April 30, 2026 market is priced at 4% YES. Recent news suggests continued military operations, with no active ceasefire in place. The Ethereum priя┐╜...
## Market Snapshot
Fed Rate Cuts Predictions for 2026 is currently undetermined, with activity reflecting uncertainty. Crude Oil Price Predictions by June are priced at 100% YES, suggesting confidenя┐╜...
## Market Snapshot
The market for тАЬRussia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31тАЭ currently stands at 77.5% YES, slightly down from 78% 24 hours ago. Meanwhile, the тАЬRussia x Ukraine ceasefire b...
## Market Snapshot
The market on тАЬStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of JuneтАЭ is currently priced at a consistent 58% YES. The тАЬTrumpтАЩs Hormuz Blockade AnnouncementтАЭ market h...
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