ЁЯФ┤ LIVE: рдкреНрд░рдзрд╛рдирдордВрддреНрд░реА рдореЛрджреА рдХрд╛ рд░реИрд▓реА рдореЗрдВ рд╕рдВрдмреЛрдзрди | ЁЯФ┤ рдмрдЬрдЯ 2024: рдЬрд╛рдиреЗрдВ рдХреНрдпрд╛ рд╣реИ рдЦрд╛рд╕ | ЁЯФ┤ IPL 2024: рдЯреАрдо рдЗрдВрдбрд┐рдпрд╛ рдХреА рдШреЛрд╖рдгрд╛
рдмреНрд░реЗрдХрд┐рдВрдЧ
тАв рдкреНрд░рдзрд╛рдирдордВрддреНрд░реА рдореЛрджреА рдЖрдЬ рдЙрддреНрддрд░ рдкреНрд░рджреЗрд╢ рдореЗрдВ рд░реИрд▓реА рдХреЛ рд╕рдВрдмреЛрдзрд┐рдд рдХрд░реЗрдВрдЧреЗ тАв рдмрдЬрдЯ 2024: рдордзреНрдпрдо рд╡рд░реНрдЧ рдХреЛ рдмрдбрд╝реА рд░рд╛рд╣рдд рдорд┐рд▓рдиреЗ рдХреА рдЙрдореНрдореАрдж тАв рдЖрдИрдкреАрдПрд▓ 2024: рдЯреАрдо рдЗрдВрдбрд┐рдпрд╛ рдХреА рдШреЛрд╖рдгрд╛ рдЖрдЬ тАв рд░рд╛рдо рдордВрджрд┐рд░: рдЕрдпреЛрдзреНрдпрд╛ рдореЗрдВ рднрд╡реНрдп рддреИрдпрд╛рд░рд┐рдпрд╛рдВ рдкреВрд░реА тАв рдмреАрдЬреЗрдкреА рдХрд╛ рдорд╣рд╛рдкреНрд░рдмрдВрдзрди: 2024 рдЪреБрдирд╛рд╡ рдХреА рддреИрдпрд╛рд░рд┐рдпрд╛рдВ рддреЗрдЬ

Estefano Gomez

Articles by Estefano Gomez

OPEC+ to raise oil output by 188,000 bpd amid geopolitical tensions

Crypto May 4, 2026

## Market Snapshot Crude Oil Price Predictions by June market shows a 100% YES pricing for hitting a high of $90 by the end of June. Current market pricing suggests a consistent view that geopoliticя┐╜...

Israel orders southern Lebanon evacuations amid military operations

Crypto May 4, 2026

## Market Snapshot The market assessing whether Israel will withdraw from Lebanon by May 31, 2026, currently prices a YES outcome at 2.4%. This represents a decline from 3% the previous day and 4% aя┐╜...

Bitcoin faces potential downside after April surge, says CryptoQuant report

Crypto May 4, 2026

## Market Snapshot In the тАЬWill Bitcoin reach $86,000 on May 2?тАЭ market, the current pricing reflects a 0.1% YES. This unchanged pricing highlights skepticism about Bitcoin reaching the target, c...

Red Cross warns of renewed Iran attacks amid airspace closure concerns

Crypto May 4, 2026

## Market Snapshot In the тАЬIran closes its airspace by May 8тАЭ market, the current pricing is at 14.5% for a YES outcome, down from 24% a day ago. For the May 31 sub-market, YES is priced at 39....

Iranian supertanker evades US blockade, challenges enforcement

Crypto May 4, 2026

## Market Snapshot The Polymarket question on whether Donald Trump will announce the lifting of the US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026, is currently priced at 27.5% YES. This reflecя┐╜...

IRGC warns US as Iran consolidates power amid 2026 leadership uncertainty

Crypto May 4, 2026

## Market Snapshot The market on IranтАЩs leadership status by the end of 2026 currently remains uncertain, with multiple sub-markets active. The market assessing whether Iran will close its airspace...

UAE resumes full air traffic as Iran airspace closure odds fall

Crypto May 4, 2026

## Market Snapshot The тАЬIran closes its airspace by May 8тАЭ market is currently priced at 16.5% YES, down from 24% in the past 24 hours. Meanwhile, the тАЬIran closes its airspace by May 31тАЭ mar...

Israel-Iran energy conflict escalates, potential Iran airspace closure looms

Crypto May 4, 2026

## Market Snapshot Iran Airspace Closure market shows a current price of 16.5% YES for May 8, down from 24% a day ago, and 39% YES for May 31, up from 38%. The WTI Crude Oil Prices in May 2026 markeя┐╜...

US to cut troop presence in Germany, signaling potential de-escalation with Iran

Crypto May 4, 2026

## Market Snapshot The market for тАЬWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?тАЭ is currently assessing a decreased likelihood, with the recent news suggesting a shift in military focus. The тАЬUS Decla...

Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by June 2026 remains unlikely amid stalled diplomacy

Crypto May 4, 2026

## Market Snapshot In the Russia-Ukraine ceasefire markets, a ceasefire by April 30, 2026, is considered unlikely, with activity reflecting a low probability. The June 30, 2026, ceasefire market shoя┐╜...