ЁЯФ┤ LIVE: рдкреНрд░рдзрд╛рдирдордВрддреНрд░реА рдореЛрджреА рдХрд╛ рд░реИрд▓реА рдореЗрдВ рд╕рдВрдмреЛрдзрди | ЁЯФ┤ рдмрдЬрдЯ 2024: рдЬрд╛рдиреЗрдВ рдХреНрдпрд╛ рд╣реИ рдЦрд╛рд╕ | ЁЯФ┤ IPL 2024: рдЯреАрдо рдЗрдВрдбрд┐рдпрд╛ рдХреА рдШреЛрд╖рдгрд╛
рдмреНрд░реЗрдХрд┐рдВрдЧ
тАв рдкреНрд░рдзрд╛рдирдордВрддреНрд░реА рдореЛрджреА рдЖрдЬ рдЙрддреНрддрд░ рдкреНрд░рджреЗрд╢ рдореЗрдВ рд░реИрд▓реА рдХреЛ рд╕рдВрдмреЛрдзрд┐рдд рдХрд░реЗрдВрдЧреЗ тАв рдмрдЬрдЯ 2024: рдордзреНрдпрдо рд╡рд░реНрдЧ рдХреЛ рдмрдбрд╝реА рд░рд╛рд╣рдд рдорд┐рд▓рдиреЗ рдХреА рдЙрдореНрдореАрдж тАв рдЖрдИрдкреАрдПрд▓ 2024: рдЯреАрдо рдЗрдВрдбрд┐рдпрд╛ рдХреА рдШреЛрд╖рдгрд╛ рдЖрдЬ тАв рд░рд╛рдо рдордВрджрд┐рд░: рдЕрдпреЛрдзреНрдпрд╛ рдореЗрдВ рднрд╡реНрдп рддреИрдпрд╛рд░рд┐рдпрд╛рдВ рдкреВрд░реА тАв рдмреАрдЬреЗрдкреА рдХрд╛ рдорд╣рд╛рдкреНрд░рдмрдВрдзрди: 2024 рдЪреБрдирд╛рд╡ рдХреА рддреИрдпрд╛рд░рд┐рдпрд╛рдВ рддреЗрдЬ

Estefano Gomez

Articles by Estefano Gomez

NvidiaтАЩs AI market share in China drops amid US export controls

Crypto May 5, 2026

## Market Snapshot The market assessing whether Nvidia will be the largest company by market cap on June 30 is currently priced at 70% YES. This represents a decrease from previous levels, suggestinя┐╜...

Powell plans to stay as Fed governor post-chair term, reducing early exit odds

Crypto May 5, 2026

## Market Snapshot The market for тАЬJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026тАЭ is currently priced at 1.4% YES, reflecting a decrease from previous levels. The pricing for PowellтАЩs departur...

Israel intensifies military operations in Lebanon, delaying withdrawal plans

Crypto May 5, 2026

## Market Snapshot Israel withdraws from Lebanon by April 30, 2026 market is priced at 4% YES. Recent news suggests continued military operations, with no active ceasefire in place. The Ethereum priя┐╜...

White House mulls boosting US oil output amid Iran conflict

Crypto May 5, 2026

## Market Snapshot Fed Rate Cuts Predictions for 2026 is currently undetermined, with activity reflecting uncertainty. Crude Oil Price Predictions by June are priced at 100% YES, suggesting confidenя┐╜...

Zelensky warns of unusual military activity on Belarus border

Crypto May 5, 2026

## Market Snapshot The market for тАЬRussia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31тАЭ currently stands at 77.5% YES, slightly down from 78% 24 hours ago. Meanwhile, the тАЬRussia x Ukraine ceasefire b...

US launches Operation Freedom to restore Strait of Hormuz navigation

Crypto May 5, 2026

## Market Snapshot The market on тАЬStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of JuneтАЭ is currently priced at a consistent 58% YES. The тАЬTrumpтАЩs Hormuz Blockade AnnouncementтАЭ market h...

US naval blockade in Strait of Hormuz strains IranтАЩs economy, $435M daily impact

Crypto May 5, 2026

## Market Snapshot Iran leadership change by December 31 market is currently priced at 33.5% YES, a slight decline from 34% a day ago. The Iran leadership status by end of 2026 market remains in focя┐╜...

Spirit Airlines ceases operations amid Strait of Hormuz fuel crisis

Crypto May 5, 2026

## Market Snapshot Spirit Airlines Shutdown market is currently priced at 100% YES, with an expectation that Spirit will cease operations by May 31. The collapse was triggered by a severe fuel priceя┐╜...

China orders firms to defy US sanctions on Iranian oil refiners

Crypto May 4, 2026

## Market Snapshot WTI Crude Oil market is considering the likelihood of reaching $150 in May, currently priced with an implied probability of increase. The US-Iran nuclear deal market reflects a decя┐╜...

Kashkari warns Iran war could limit Fed rate cuts amid inflation concerns

Crypto May 4, 2026

## Market Snapshot Fed Rate Cuts Predictions for 2026 are showing a shift, with a decrease in expectations for rate cuts. The Fed Decision June and July market indicates a 3.6% YES probability for aя┐╜...