Articles by Estefano Gomez
Israeli President Isaac Herzog is delaying a decision on Prime Minister Benjamin NetanyahuтАЩs pardon request and is instead pushing for a plea deal. The market for Netanyahu being out of power by Jun...
Netanyahu has ordered strikes on Hezbollah in response to ceasefire violations. The Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026 market holds at 100%
YES, though active military operations complicя┐╜...
Lebanon has released the last of its Hezbollah detainees on minimal bail, and the Polymarket contract for an Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026 sits at 100% YES.
Market reaction
Both the Aя┐╜...
Bitcoin is trading at $118,838.03 on April 26, 2026, and the Polymarket question тАЬWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?тАЭ sits at near-zero odds with only six days left in the month.
Market reacti...
EgyptтАЩs economic outlook has been slightly trimmed amid ongoing disruptions from the Iran war, with Polymarket contracts on crude oil hitting $90 by end of June drawing increased trading interest.
...
The Ethereum Foundation is unstaking $48.9 million worth of ETH, raising questions about potential selling pressure. The Ethereum Price in 2026 market sits at 4%
YES, unchanged from a week ago, sugя┐╜...
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas AraghchiтАЩs diplomatic tour to Pakistan, Oman, and Russia signals TehranтАЩs preference for regional alliances over direct engagement with Washington. The likelihood of...
IranтАЩs Foreign Minister Seyed Abbas Araghchi is heading back to Pakistan before a diplomatic stop in Moscow. The market for whether no qualifying US-Iran diplomatic meeting occurs by June 30, 2026, ...
Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar suggests the nuclear option is now a real consideration as conventional tactics fail to sway Iran. The odds of no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting by June 30 sit at 13.5я┐╜...
IranтАЩs President Masoud Pezeshkian told PakistanтАЩs PM Shehbaz Sharif that Tehran will not negotiate with the US under pressure. The market for Iran agreeing to surrender its enriched uranium stock...
.png)