Articles by Estefano Gomez
Hedge funds are selling tech stocks at the fastest rate in two years, raising concerns about broader market sentiment. The Polymarket contract on the S&P 500 opening higher on April 24 is at 99.9я┐╜...
Vladimir PutinтАЩs approval ratings have fallen for the seventh consecutive week to their lowest level since the war in Ukraine began, while the market on Putin being out as President of Russia by Jun...
Donald Trump announced that Iran made a new negotiation offer following the cancellation of negotiatorsтАЩ trip to Pakistan. The US-Iran permanent peace deal by May 31 is at 30%
YES, down from 38% a...
IsraelтАЩs military strikes in Gaza, killing a dozen people, have added political pressure on Prime Minister Netanyahu. The тАЬNetanyahu out by June 30тАЭ contract trades at 5.5%
YES, down from 6% y...
President Trump was evacuated from the White House correspondentsтАЩ dinner in Washington, D.C., during a period of heightened US-Iran tensions. The market for тАЬTrump announces end of military opera...
Shipping officials have warned that the US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz is escalating volatility as Iran intensifies efforts to keep the strait shut. Strait of Hormuz traffic returning to normal я┐╜...
A Balancer attacker has converted 21k ETH (about $48.7M) to 617 BTC over three days, leaving only 1k ETH in the hackerтАЩs address. The probability of another $100 million crypto hack by December 31 i...
Handala, a pro-resistance hacking group linked to Iran, published the identities of senior officers from an elite Israeli special ops unit. The market on whether Iran will strike Israel by April 30 sя┐╜...
Iran has proposed a framework for talks with the US while stressing deep distrust. The тАЬno qualifying diplomatic meeting by June 30тАЭ contract now trades at 14.3%
YES, up from 9% yesterday.
Mark...
Trump pulled the plug on US-Iran peace talks, and the April 30 permanent peace deal market dropped to 3.8%
YES, down from 10% yesterday.
The collapse hit related markets across the board. The May я┐╜...
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